2018 Academy Award Predictions

March 2, 2018

On Tuesday, I officially completed my goal of seeing all 9 of the best picture nominees. This is the third year in a row I watched all of them before the awards.  I am not a movie expert by any means, but I love great movies and want to see all of them to make the best guess.

love you more too north dallas blogger plano lifestyle blogger foodie Academy Awards party Crave Popcorn Party

If you want to throw a last minute Academy Award party, check out my tips and ideas here. Unfortunately, I do not have an updated ballot this year. Since we are moving this weekend, I knew I wasn’t going to have a party this year. Here is a link to the “Official Vanity Fair Ballot” if you don’t have a custom one.

I left off several categories because I either haven’t seen many of the movies or don’t feel educated enough to give a good prediction.

Best picture

Call Me By You Name
Darkest Hour
Get Out
Lady Bird
Phantom Thread
The Post
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Although my favorite movie on this list is Three Billboards, and there is a good chance they could win, I think The Shape of Water will win this year.

Best director

Paul Thomas Anderson, Phantom Thread
Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water
Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird
Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk
Jordan Peele, Get Out

The Shape of Water was a beautiful movie. Weird, but beautiful. I have little to no doubt that Guillermo del Toro will take home this award on Sunday and it’s well deserved.

Best actress in a leading role

Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Meryl Streep, The Post
Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird

I would not be surprised if Sally Hawkins takes it this year. Her performance was phenomenal, but my money is on Frances McDormand. Seriously, if you haven’t seen Three Billboards… go see it. Also, just to be transparent, I haven’t seen I, Tonya yet, so I can’t comment on Margot Robbie’s performance.

Best actor in a leading role

Timothée Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name
Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.

Even though I haven’t seen Roman J. Israel, Esq., I know how talented Denzel Washington is. Out of all the other performances, Gary Oldman’s stands out the most. Not only did he nail the accent and body movements, but he had to wear pounds of prosthetics. His performance sealed the deal for me.

Best actress in a supporting role

Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
Allison Janney, I, Tonya
Lesley Manville, Phantom Thread
Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

I haven’t seen I, Tonya, but I have read enough about Allison Janney’s performance to know that she will probably win this one. She won the SAG and Golden Globe, so I think she’s a shoe in.

Best actor in a supporting role

Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World
Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

It’s not fair to put Sam and Woody in the same category because I worry they will cancel each other out. Both of their performances left me speechless. My prediction is that Sam will take the award and make a big to do about how amazing Woody is.

Best original screenplay

The Shape of Water (Guillermo del Toro and Vanessa Taylor; story by Guillermo del Toro)
Lady Bird (Greta Gerwig)
The Bick Sick (Emily V. Gordon and Kumail Nanjiani)
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (Martin McDonagh)
Get Out (Jordan Peele)

My fingers are crossed that Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri will win this one.

Best adapted screenplay

Call Me By Your Name (James Ivory)
Logan (Scott Frank, James Mangold, and Michael Green; story by James Mangold)
Molly’s Game (Aaron Sorkin)
Mudbound (Virgil Williams and Dee Rees)
The Disaster Artist (Scott Neustadter and Michael H. Weber)

My two favorite movies of last year were The Disaster Artist and Baby Driver, so I really want The Disaster Artist to take this one. It’s a shame that it wasn’t nominated for best picture/actor/director despite it’s success at the Golden Globes. Honestly, Call Me By Your Name will probably win, but my fingers are crossed for The Disaster Artist.

Best original score

Phantom Thread
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Colton was convinced Dunkirk would win this (because Hans Zimmerman is a genius), but we both agree that The Shape of Water will probably take it.


So there you have it…my 2018 predictions. Come back on Monday and see how many I got correct.

Are you watching the awards on Sunday? Who are you rooting for?

  • Beth March 2, 2018 at 10:51 am

    I haven’t seen hardly any of the Oscar nominated movies which isn’t something new, I typically end up seeing them after the ceremony, ha. But anyway, I have heard a LOT about the Shape of Water and from what I know, I think I agree with your predictions on it. I’m looking forward to watching even without having seen much!

  • Nikki March 2, 2018 at 2:02 pm

    I think it’s really neat that you see all the nominated movies. I haven’t seen any on the list, but I do want to see Lady Bird. Did you like it?

  • ShootingStarsMag March 2, 2018 at 2:54 pm

    I’m actually doing the Oscar Showcase at AMC tomorrow, so it will be a day of seeing 5 of the nominated movies. Last week was the other four, but I’m excited for tomorrow’s pickings. Call Me By Your Name is the only one I’ve seen so far, and I do really love it so I’d like to see it win SOMETHING. That’s awesome you’ve seen all 9 Best Picture nominations though.


  • Akaleistar March 2, 2018 at 6:36 pm

    I thought Gary Oldman was amazing in Darkest Hour!

  • Charlotte March 4, 2018 at 8:57 am

    I love that you made a list of predictions (and that you had a movie viewing party so you are all prepared for tonight!). I haven’t seen any with the exception of Get Out which was phenomenal. Best of luck with your move!!!

  • Emily March 4, 2018 at 11:59 am

    I love that you made a list of Academy Award predictions. It sounds like it will be so much fun to see if your predictions are correct. I plan to watch the award show tonight. I haven’t watched The Shape of Water, but I really want to. Did you know that The Shape of Water is going to be released as a novel on Tuesday? I can’t wait to read the book.

  • Shann Eva March 4, 2018 at 12:23 pm

    That’s awesome that you’ve seen all the movies. I’m sad to say that I haven’t seen even one of them. I hardly get out to the movies, and when I do, it’s often a kid one. I did get to see The Greatest Showman, which I loved, Star Wars, and Coco. I’m still excited to see the Oscars, though. I’ll definitely come back to check out how you did.